The stock market: Warren Buffett

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7 maj 2015

Warren Buffett´s favorite partner

Buffett model score

Latest Update as of 02/23/2015.

Ticker	Name	Buffett Model Score
TJX	TJX COMPANIES INC	100%
NOVKY	NOVATEK OAO – ADR	100%
ROST	ROSS STORES, INC.	100%
MNST	MONSTER BEVERAGE CORP	100%
FTI	FMC TECHNOLOGIES, INC.	100%
WIT	WIPRO LIMITED (ADR)	99%
PII	POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.	99%
SYNT	SYNTEL, INC.	99%
MIDD	MIDDLEBY CORP	96%
AHGP	ALLIANCE HOLDINGS GP, L.P.	94%
AAPL	APPLE INC.	93%
DLTR	DOLLAR TREE, INC.	93%
TSCO	TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY	93%
MTD	METTLER-TOLEDO INTERNATIONAL INC.	93%
PETM	PETSMART, INC.	93%
CACC	CREDIT ACCEPTANCE CORP.	93%
FCFS	FIRST CASH FINANCIAL SERVICES INC	93%
HIBB	HIBBETT SPORTS, INC.	93%
CRVL	CORVEL CORPORATION	93%
ACN	ACCENTURE PLC	92%
CTSH	COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CORP	92%
TROW	T. ROWE PRICE GROUP INC	92%
ADS	ALLIANCE DATA SYSTEMS CORPORATION	92%
FAST	FASTENAL COMPANY	92%
ORCL	ORACLE CORPORATION	89%
AAP	ADVANCE AUTO PARTS, INC.	89%
ADP	AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING	86%
PCP	PRECISION CASTPARTS CORP.	86%
SHW	SHERWIN-WILLIAMS CO	86%
SSL	SASOL LIMITED (ADR)	86%
GWW	W W GRAINGER INC	86%
NTES	NETEASE, INC (ADR)	86%
COH	COACH INC	86%
CHRW	C.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE, INC.	86%
JBHT	J B HUNT TRANSPORT SERVICES INC	86%
FDS	FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INC.	86%
CLB	CORE LABORATORIES N.V.	86%
ROL	ROLLINS, INC.	86%
FOSL	FOSSIL GROUP INC	86%
BMA	BANCO MACRO SA (ADR)	86%
BKE	BUCKLE INC	86%
EBIX	EBIX INC	86%
WRLD	WORLD ACCEPTANCE CORP.	86%
CPSI	COMPUTER PROGRAMS & SYSTEMS, INC.	86%
NVO	NOVO NORDISK A/S (ADR)	85%
SAP	SAP SE (ADR)	85%
INFY	INFOSYS LTD ADR	85%
PAYX	PAYCHEX, INC.	85%
VTKLY	VTECH HOLDINGS LTD (ADR)	85%
FIZZ	NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP.	85%
BRLI	BIO-REFERENCE LABORATORIES INC	85%
UG	UNITED-GUARDIAN, INC.	85%
BTI	BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO PLC (ADR)	82%
COL	ROCKWELL COLLINS, INC.	82%
CPA	COPA HOLDINGS, S.A.	80%
MLAB	MESA LABORATORIES, INC.	80%
MSFT	MICROSOFT CORPORATION	79%
CHL	CHINA MOBILE LTD. (ADR)	79%
LMT	LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION	79%
VFC	VF CORP	79%
INTU	INTUIT INC.	79%
AMTD	TD AMERITRADE HOLDING CORP.	79%
GPS	GAP INC	79%
CHKP	CHECK POINT SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD.	79%
GPC	GENUINE PARTS COMPANY	79%
BBBY	BED BATH & BEYOND INC.	79%
VAR	VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS, INC.	79%
FFIV	F5 NETWORKS, INC.	79%
TDC	TERADATA CORPORATION	79%
JKHY	JACK HENRY & ASSOCIATES, INC.	79%
DCI	DONALDSON COMPANY, INC.	79%
URBN	URBAN OUTFITTERS, INC.	79%
CPRT	COPART, INC.	79%
PRAA	PRA GROUP INC	79%

Buffett Screener

Buffett Screener Based On The Book "Buffettology"

LOOK FOR EARNINGS PREDICTABILITYBuffett likes companies to have solid, stable earnings that are continually expanding. This allows him to accurately predict future earnings. This model looks at 10 years of earnings.

LOOK AT THE ABILITY TO PAY OFF DEBTBuffett likes companies that are conservatively financed.

LOOK FOR CONSISTENTLY HIGHER THAN AVERAGE RETURN ON EQUITY:Buffett likes companies with above average return on equity of at least 15% or better, as this is an indicator that the company has a durable competitive advantage.

LOOK FOR CONSISTENTLY HIGHER THAN AVERAGE RETURN ON TOTAL CAPITALBecause some companies can be financed with debt that is many times their equity, they can show a consistently high ROE, yet still be in unattractive price competitive businesses. To screen this out, for non-financial companies Buffett also requires that the average Return On Total Capital (ROTC) be at least 12% and consistent.

LOOK AT CAPITAL EXPENDITURESBuffett likes companies that do not have major capital expenditures. That is, he looks for companies that do not need to spend a ton of money on major upgrades of plant and equipment or on research and development to stay competitive.

LOOK AT MANAGEMENT’S USE OF RETAINED EARNINGSBuffett likes to see if management has spent retained earnings in a way that benefits shareholders.

HAS THE COMPANY BEEN BUYING BACK SHARESBuffett likes to see falling shares outstanding, which indicates that the company has been repurchasing shares.

STAGE 2: Should I buy at this price?

CALCULATE THE FUTURE STOCK PRICE & EXPECTED STOCK RETURN BASED ON THE AVERAGE ROE METHOD

CALCULATE THE FUTURE STOCK PRICE & EXPECTED STOCK RETURN BASED ON THE AVERAGE EPS METHOD

LOOK AT THE RANGE OF EXPECTED RATE OF RETURNModel looks for stocks with a minimum of 12% return, but prefers stocks with 15% or more annual return potential based on the range of the two methods (ROE and EPS) method above.

Rule nr. 1

"Rule #1 never lose money. Rule #2 never forget rule number one." - Warren Buffett http://t.co/LNaVtdL3cZ pic.twitter.com/cYeqhaPA0A
— Trading Proverbs (@tradingproverbs) May 7, 2015